Domestic companies share industry dividends, and the localization process of robot reducers is expected to usher in a turning point

[Domestic companies share industry dividends, robotic reducer domestic process is expected to usher in the inflection point] Recently, the domestic robotics industry has a good news. In the field of RV reducer, China Daedeok and Bronte signed a purchase and sales contract of no less than 30000 sets of RV reducer. Double-ring transmission and Eft signed 10,000 sets of reducer contracts. For non-listed companies, Nantong Zhenkang supplied 15,000 units and 3,000 sets of speed reducers to Shanghai Huan Yan and Eft, respectively, and the import process of robot-made parts and components was accelerated.

Foreign brands control the robotics industry and core components are the major bottleneck

With the advent of the inflection point of the demographic dividend, China's manufacturing industry has ushered in a wave of machine substitutions. According to the forecast of the International Robot Federation IFR, Chinese robot sales are expected to maintain a 20%-25% growth rate from 2018 to 2020. However, the foundation of our country's robotic industry is weak, and the current market share is still dominated by the international “four big families”. From the perspective of cost, the core and difficult points of robotics technology are concentrated in the upstream parts market. The ratio of reducer, controller and servo motor to total cost is close to 70%. Among them, the technical barriers to reducers are the highest. The import cost of a reducer is about 3-4 times that of foreign prices, which is the main bottleneck restricting the development of domestic robots. According to OFweek's data, in 2015, the global precision reducer market was monopolized by two Japanese companies, among which Nabtesco produced RV reducers, which accounted for approximately 60% of the market share. Hamenerco produced harmonic reducers, accounting for approximately 15% share.

Domestic companies share industry dividends, and speed reducer imports are expected to accelerate

Recent trade frictions between China and the United States reflect the absence of key equipment technologies in China. It is imperative to promote the acceleration of import substitution in the key areas of national economy and people's livelihood. At present, some domestic enterprises have successfully implemented the reducer business, and China Daedeeli will supply 10,000 sets of RV reducers to Bronte before the end of 2019; Efte will purchase 10,000 sets of RV reducers with double-ring transmissions; According to the disclosure of the annual report, the Nabo Precision Machinery Group under Shanghai Mechatronics Co., Ltd. has already reached 100,000 units of retarder capacity in advance, and began to realize a single monthly profit in May 2017. The target is to reach an annual capacity of 200,000 units.

The wave of localization of the industry needs to penetrate into the equipment industry at the bottom, and the independent research and development of core components is the only way to enhance the competitiveness of products. Although the development of domestic industrial robot reducer is still a long way to go, the overall product quality is gradually improving. As domestic enterprises move from small-volume production to high-volume supply, enterprises actively deploying reducer services will fully benefit from the important trend of autonomous core technologies, and the localization process is expected to usher in an inflection point.

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